Gimpo Citizenvs
Suwon Bluewings
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 8/29/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suwon Bluewings · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimpo Citizen 0-0 Suwon Bluewings, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimpo Citizen 1-4 Suwon Bluewings
Original prediction
Suwon Bluewings
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.07 | 29.6% | 28.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.3% | 30.1% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 42.1% | 41.5% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Projected Score
Gimpo Citizen 0–0 Suwon Bluewings
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Suwon Bluewings
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Suwon Bluewings has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00