Gimpo Citizenvs
Paju Citizen
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 10/17/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gimpo Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimpo Citizen 0-0 Paju Citizen, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimpo Citizen 4-1 Paju Citizen
Original prediction
Gimpo Citizen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.6% | 45.3% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.4% | 29.9% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 4.35 | 21.0% | 24.8% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Projected Score
Gimpo Citizen 0–0 Paju Citizen
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Gimpo Citizen
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Gimpo Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60