Gimpo Citizenvs
Gimhae City
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 10/24/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gimpo Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimpo Citizen 2-0 Gimhae City, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimpo Citizen 1-2 Gimhae City
Original prediction
Gimpo Citizen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 54.0% | 63.2% | 9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.3% | 21.7% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 4.42 | 20.6% | 15.2% | -5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.1 pts
Projected Score
Gimpo Citizen 2–0 Gimhae City
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Gimpo Citizen
Probability
63.2%
Model confidence
63.2%
Gimpo Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60