Gimpo Citizenvs
Busan I Park
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Busan I Park · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimpo Citizen 1-0 Busan I Park
Original prediction
Busan I Park
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.2% | 35.2% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.5% | 26.2% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 33.3% | 38.6% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Busan I Park
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Busan I Park has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80