Gimnástica Torrelavegavs
Marino de Luanco
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gimnástica Torrelavega · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnástica Torrelavega 1-2 Marino de Luanco
Original prediction
Gimnástica Torrelavega
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 42.8% | 45.3% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.5% | 26.8% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.24 | 27.7% | 28.0% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Gimnástica Torrelavega
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Gimnástica Torrelavega has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60