Gimnástica Torrelavegavs
Deportivo Alavés II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Alavés II · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnástica Torrelavega 1-5 Deportivo Alavés II
Original prediction
Deportivo Alavés II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.37 | 26.6% | 20.6% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.2% | 24.2% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.2% | 55.2% | 11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Alavés II
Probability
55.2%
Model confidence
55.2%
Deportivo Alavés II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00