Gimnástica Torrelavegavs
Bergantiños
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gimnástica Torrelavega · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnástica Torrelavega 0-3 Bergantiños
Original prediction
Gimnástica Torrelavega
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.3% | 36.3% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.4% | 29.7% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 30.3% | 34.0% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Gimnástica Torrelavega
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Gimnástica Torrelavega has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60