Gimnástica Segovianavs
SS Reyes
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 9/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimnástica Segoviana 0-0 SS Reyes, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnástica Segoviana 2-0 SS Reyes
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.92 | 30.8% | 34.1% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.85 | 31.5% | 32.9% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 37.7% | 33.0% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
Gimnástica Segoviana 0–0 SS Reyes
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.9%
Model confidence
34.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00