Gimnástica Segovianavs
Real Valladolid II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 10/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Valladolid II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnástica Segoviana 1-1 Real Valladolid II
Original prediction
Real Valladolid II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 44.2% | 32.6% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.4% | 25.0% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.4% | 42.4% | 14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Real Valladolid II
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Real Valladolid II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80