Gimnástica Segovianavs
Real Madrid III
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 8/29/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gimnástica Segoviana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnástica Segoviana 0-1 Real Madrid III
Original prediction
Gimnástica Segoviana
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.6% | 37.5% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.1% | 28.5% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.3% | 34.0% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Gimnástica Segoviana
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Gimnástica Segoviana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33