Gimnástica Segovianavs
Conquense
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 9/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gimnástica Segoviana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnástica Segoviana 1-2 Conquense
Original prediction
Gimnástica Segoviana
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.3% | 38.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 31.6% | 29.3% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 29.1% | 32.1% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Gimnástica Segoviana
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Gimnástica Segoviana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 2.67/1.00