Gimnasticvs
Sant Andreu
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/26/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimnastic 0-0 Sant Andreu, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnastic 1-2 Sant Andreu
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.7% | 36.1% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.0% | 30.6% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 27.3% | 33.4% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Projected Score
Gimnastic 0–0 Sant Andreu
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.6%
Model confidence
36.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GimnasticLWDWL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Sant AndreuDLWLW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
GimnasticSant Andreu
35.1Attack50.0
57.0Defence50.0
41.2Form50.0
46.6Power50.0
0.95xG1.02