Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gimnastic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Gimnastic are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Huesca are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Gimnastic holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gimnastic
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
10.4%
Gimnastic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60