Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Gimnastic are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Algeciras are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Algeciras hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (46.6 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60