Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 12:42
Gimnasia Y Tiro

Gimnasia Y Tiro

Home
DW
10
Full time
Deportivo Maipu

Deportivo Maipu

Away
DWW
Estadio El Gigante del Norte
GoalVio prediction
37% confidence
Deportivo Maipu(35%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
Gimnasia Y Tiro
36%
Draw
29%
Deportivo Maipu
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Gimnasia Y Tiro
54
Deportivo Maipu
61
Defence
Gimnasia Y Tiro
66
Deportivo Maipu
86
Momentum
Gimnasia Y Tiro
67
Deportivo Maipu
78
Danger (xG)
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1.35
Deportivo Maipu
1.50
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Gimnasia Y Tiro)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Deportivo Maipu)
1.50
avg per match
xG against (Gimnasia Y Tiro)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Deportivo Maipu)
0.30
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro
DW
Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu
DWW

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
Gimnasia Y Tiro36%
Draw29%
Deportivo Maipu35%

Gimnasia Y Tiro leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Gimnasia Y Tiro head into this in Primera Nacional fixture at Estadio El Gigante del Norte in mixed form (DW), while Deportivo Maipu arrive in decent form (DWW). Gimnasia Y Tiro have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 67% for Deportivo Maipu over 3 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Gimnasia Y Tiro (66/100) and Deportivo Maipu (86/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Gimnasia Y Tiro have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Deportivo Maipu have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Gimnasia Y Tiro and Deportivo Maipu in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Deportivo Maipu to win with 37% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Gimnasia Y Tiro 3616%, Draw 2914%, Deportivo Maipu 3470%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Gimnasia Y Tiro

Gimnasia Y Tiro

D
vs Patronato
12 Jul 2026
11
W
@ Colegiales
4 Jul 2026
21
Deportivo Maipu

Deportivo Maipu

D
vs San Martin Tucuman
17 Jul 2026
00
W
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
11 Jul 2026
31
W
vs Agropecuario
5 Jul 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Deportivo Maipu?

GoalVio's model predicts Deportivo Maipu to win with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Deportivo Maipu?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Deportivo Maipu?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Deportivo Maipu?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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