Gimnasia Y Tirovs
Chacarita Juniors
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 8/29/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gimnasia Y Tiro · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimnasia Y Tiro 0-0 Chacarita Juniors, with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0 Chacarita Juniors
Original prediction
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 48.6% | 47.2% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.5% | 33.9% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 4.38 | 20.9% | 19.0% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Projected Score
Gimnasia Y Tiro 0–0 Chacarita Juniors
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Gimnasia Y Tiro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20