GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/29/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Y Tiro are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Central Norte are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Y Tiro hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia Y TiroLDWWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Central NorteWDLDL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Gimnasia Y TiroCentral Norte
36.1Attack21.7
69.4Defence65.2
51.4Form33.3
54.7Power42.8
0.85xG0.36
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