Gimnasia Y Tirovs
Atletico DE Rafaela
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/27/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimnasia Y Tiro 0-0 Atletico DE Rafaela, with an exact score probability of 34%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0 Atletico DE Rafaela
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 47.3% | 39.8% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 31.7% | 36.5% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 4.34 | 21.0% | 23.6% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Projected Score
Gimnasia Y Tiro 0–0 Atletico DE Rafaela
Exact score probability: 34%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
39.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40