Gimnasia Y Tirovs
Atlanta
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimnasia Y Tiro 0-0 Atlanta, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnasia Y Tiro 3-1 Atlanta
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 40.0% | 34.2% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.70 | 33.9% | 34.8% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 26.1% | 31.0% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Projected Score
Gimnasia Y Tiro 0–0 Atlanta
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.8%
Model confidence
34.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Gimnasia Y TiroDLWLD
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AtlantaWWWDW
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Gimnasia Y TiroAtlanta
34.3Attack39.4
69.7Defence69.7
49.5Form58.6
53.5Power57.9
0.67xG0.67