GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 5/5/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Y Tiro are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Agropecuario are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Y Tiro hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia Y TiroLLDDL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AgropecuarioWLLLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Gimnasia Y TiroAgropecuario
36.1Attack29.3
69.4Defence62.7
51.4Form38.7
54.7Power45.6
0.90xG0.48
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