Gimnasia Mendoza 2vs
Vélez Sársfield Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 3/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vélez Sársfield Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Vélez Sársfield Res. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Vélez Sársfield Res. hold a 24.4-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 70.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Reserve League, while Vélez Sársfield Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Vélez Sársfield Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20