GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 3/26/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tigre Res. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Mendoza 2 hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia Mendoza 2LWLDD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Tigre Res.DLWLL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Gimnasia Mendoza 2Tigre Res.
30.3Attack27.3
60.6Defence54.5
39.4Form30.3
45.7Power40.2
0.90xG0.58
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