Gimnasia Mendoza 2vs
Rosario Central Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosario Central Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimnasia Mendoza 2 0-0 Rosario Central Res., with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 1-2 Rosario Central Res.
Original prediction
Rosario Central Res.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 33.6% | 32.1% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 28.9% | 30.6% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.5% | 37.3% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Projected Score
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 0–0 Rosario Central Res.
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Rosario Central Res.
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Rosario Central Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40