Gimnasia Mendoza 2vs
Instituto Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 10/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimnasia Mendoza 2 0-0 Instituto Res., with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 1-1 Instituto Res.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.3% | 37.0% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.89 | 30.8% | 32.3% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 27.9% | 30.7% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.89 · Draw 1.89 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Projected Score
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 0–0 Instituto Res.
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.3%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Gimnasia Mendoza 2DWWWL
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Instituto Res.DLLDW
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gimnasia Mendoza 2Instituto Res.
33.3Attack39.1
65.5Defence58.6
48.3Form43.7
51.3Power49.6
0.89xG0.73