GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 4/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Velez Sarsfield · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia M. are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Velez Sarsfield are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Velez Sarsfield hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 28.4% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Velez Sarsfield holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Velez Sarsfield

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

28.4%

Velez Sarsfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia M.LLDDD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Velez SarsfieldLWDWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Gimnasia M.Velez Sarsfield
28.3Attack38.1
60.0Defence76.2
41.7Form60.3
45.7Power61.0
0.42xG0.88
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