Gimnasia M.vs
Platense
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/23/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gimnasia M. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimnasia M. 0-0 Platense, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnasia M. 1-2 Platense
Original prediction
Gimnasia M.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 38.3% | 42.3% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 31.4% | 33.0% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 30.2% | 24.8% | -5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Projected Score
Gimnasia M. 0–0 Platense
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Gimnasia M.
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Gimnasia M. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00