Gimnasia M.vs
Newells Old Boys
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/12/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gimnasia M. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimnasia M. 0-0 Newells Old Boys, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnasia M. 1-0 Newells Old Boys
Original prediction
Gimnasia M.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 40.4% | 40.1% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 31.0% | 31.4% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 28.6% | 28.5% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Projected Score
Gimnasia M. 0–0 Newells Old Boys
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Gimnasia M.
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Gimnasia M. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40