Gimnasia M.vs
Independiente
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 2/25/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Gimnasia M. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Independiente are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00