Gimnasia M.vs
Deportivo Riestra
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/19/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimnasia M. 0-0 Deportivo Riestra, with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnasia M. 0-0 Deportivo Riestra
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 41.9% | 40.5% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.86 | 32.8% | 35.4% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 25.3% | 24.1% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.86 · Draw 1.86 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Projected Score
Gimnasia M. 0–0 Deportivo Riestra
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.4%
Model confidence
40.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Gimnasia M.LDWWW
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Deportivo RiestraLDDDD
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Gimnasia M.Deportivo Riestra
37.3Attack17.3
58.7Defence70.7
46.7Form26.7
49.4Power40.1
0.73xG0.50