Gimnasia M.vs
Boca Juniors
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/5/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boca Juniors · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimnasia M. 0-0 Boca Juniors, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnasia M. 2-2 Boca Juniors
Original prediction
Boca Juniors
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.26 | 28.8% | 26.2% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 31.3% | 31.7% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 39.9% | 42.1% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Projected Score
Gimnasia M. 0–0 Boca Juniors
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Boca Juniors
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Boca Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40