Gimnasia L.P.vs
Universitario
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/6/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Gimnasia L.P. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Universitario are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40