Gimnasia L.P.vs
Tigre
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/5/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimnasia L.P. 0-0 Tigre, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnasia L.P. 2-1 Tigre
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 36.2% | 30.7% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 32.6% | 33.3% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 31.3% | 36.0% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Projected Score
Gimnasia L.P. 0–0 Tigre
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.3%
Model confidence
36.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Gimnasia L.P.WLDLW
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TigreDWLDL
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Gimnasia L.P.Tigre
40.0Attack34.8
57.3Defence73.9
54.7Form46.4
53.0Power53.4
0.68xG0.81