GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/23/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Gimnasia L.P. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Santa Fe are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe hold a 58.4-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Fe

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia L.P.LWWLD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Santa FeLWLLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Gimnasia L.P.Santa Fe
11.1Attack83.3
66.7Defence100.0
22.2Form100.0
36.4Power94.8
0.72xG1.20
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