Gimnasia L.P.vs
Goias
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/4/2023, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Gimnasia L.P. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Goias are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Goias hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20