GGOALVIO

Argentina · Copa Argentina · 2/22/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gimnasia L.P. · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia L.P. are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WDLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Excursionistas are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LWLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia L.P. hold a 69.7-point power-rating edge (95.8 v 26.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.2% in the Copa Argentina, while Gimnasia L.P. holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gimnasia L.P.

Probability

53.2%

Model confidence

53.2%

Gimnasia L.P. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia L.P.WDLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.75/1.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
ExcursionistasLWLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.75/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Gimnasia L.P.Excursionistas
100.0Attack33.3
83.3Defence16.7
100.0Form16.7
95.8Power26.2
1.93xG0.81
View match centre →