Gimnasia L.P.vs
Banfield
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/19/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gimnasia L.P. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimnasia L.P. 1-0 Banfield, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnasia L.P. 2-2 Banfield
Original prediction
Gimnasia L.P.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 51.4% | 48.9% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.5% | 27.6% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.43 | 21.1% | 23.5% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Projected Score
Gimnasia L.P. 1–0 Banfield
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Gimnasia L.P.
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Gimnasia L.P. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00