Gimnasia La Plata Res.vs
Vélez Sársfield Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 4/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vélez Sársfield Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Gimnasia La Plata Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Vélez Sársfield Res. are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vélez Sársfield Res. hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 70.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.1% in the Reserve League, while Vélez Sársfield Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
26.1%
Vélez Sársfield Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40