GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 2/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia La Plata Res. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Unión Santa Fe Res. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Unión Santa Fe Res. hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia La Plata Res.DWWWL

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Unión Santa Fe Res.LDWDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gimnasia La Plata Res.Unión Santa Fe Res.
31.8Attack36.4
74.2Defence69.7
43.9Form50.0
51.4Power53.8
0.61xG0.52
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