Gimnasia La Plata Res.vs
Sarmiento Res.
SCHEDULEDArgentina · Reserve League · 8/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gimnasia La Plata Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Gimnasia La Plata Res. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sarmiento Res. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia La Plata Res. hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.4% in the Reserve League, while Gimnasia La Plata Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
26.4%
Gimnasia La Plata Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60