GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 2/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia La Plata Res. are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Instituto Res. are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia La Plata Res. hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia La Plata Res.WDWWW

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Instituto Res.WDDDD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Gimnasia La Plata Res.Instituto Res.
31.8Attack34.8
74.2Defence62.1
43.9Form40.9
51.4Power48.5
0.78xG0.49
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