Argentina · Reserve League · 9/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimnasia La Plata Res. 0-0 Estudiantes La Plata Res, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnasia La Plata Res. 2-0 Estudiantes La Plata Res
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 33.5% | 31.3% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.92 | 30.5% | 33.3% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.0% | 35.4% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Projected Score
Gimnasia La Plata Res. 0–0 Estudiantes La Plata Res
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.3%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20