GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Jujuy are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Quilmes are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Jujuy hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 51.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia JujuyLWDLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
QuilmesDLLDD

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Gimnasia JujuyQuilmes
48.6Attack36.0
59.7Defence72.0
56.9Form42.7
56.0Power51.3
0.91xG0.79
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