GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gimnasia Jujuy · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Jujuy are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Patronato are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Jujuy hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 44.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Primera Nacional, while Gimnasia Jujuy holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gimnasia Jujuy

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Gimnasia Jujuy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia JujuyWLWWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PatronatoLWLDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Gimnasia JujuyPatronato
48.6Attack26.1
59.7Defence66.7
56.9Form34.8
56.0Power44.8
1.10xG0.56
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