Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional
Wednesday, 17 June 2026Last updated 10:13
Gimnasia Jujuy

Gimnasia Jujuy

Home
DD
40
Full time
Nueva Chicago

Nueva Chicago

Away
DL
Estadio 23 de Agosto
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
Gimnasia Jujuy(42%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Gimnasia Jujuy
Win probability
Gimnasia Jujuy
42%
Draw
30%
Nueva Chicago
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Gimnasia Jujuy
34
Nueva Chicago
18
Defence
Gimnasia Jujuy
66
Nueva Chicago
66
Momentum
Gimnasia Jujuy
33
Nueva Chicago
17
Danger (xG)
Gimnasia Jujuy
0.90
Nueva Chicago
0.45
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Gimnasia Jujuy)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Nueva Chicago)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Gimnasia Jujuy)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Nueva Chicago)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy
DDWWL
Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago
DLDLL

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
Gimnasia Jujuy42%
Draw30%
Nueva Chicago28%

Gimnasia Jujuy leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Gimnasia Jujuy head into this in Primera Nacional fixture at Estadio 23 de Agosto in mixed form (DD), while Nueva Chicago arrive in mixed form (DL). Gimnasia Jujuy have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Nueva Chicago over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Gimnasia Jujuy (66/100) and Nueva Chicago (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Gimnasia Jujuy have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Nueva Chicago have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per away game.

Gimnasia Jujuy have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Gimnasia Jujuy to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Gimnasia Jujuy 4240%, Draw 2980%, Nueva Chicago 2780%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Gimnasia Jujuy 1Draws 00 Nueva Chicago
Avg goals: 4.0
17 Jun 2026
Gimnasia Jujuy
W40
Nueva Chicago

Recent form

Gimnasia Jujuy

Gimnasia Jujuy

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Nueva Chicago

Nueva Chicago

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Frequently asked questions

Who will win Gimnasia Jujuy vs Nueva Chicago?

GoalVio's model predicts Gimnasia Jujuy to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Jujuy vs Nueva Chicago?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Gimnasia Jujuy vs Nueva Chicago?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Gimnasia Jujuy vs Nueva Chicago?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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