Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Gimnasia Concepción are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Independiente De Chivilcoy are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Concepción hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 31.4% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
31.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40