Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/30/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gimnasia Concepción · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gimnasia Concepción 0-0 Independiente De Chivilcoy, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gimnasia Concepción 0-0 Independiente De Chivilcoy
Original prediction
Gimnasia Concepción
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.3% | 45.0% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.0% | 35.0% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 4.58 | 19.7% | 20.0% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.01 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Projected Score
Gimnasia Concepción 0–0 Independiente De Chivilcoy
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Gimnasia Concepción
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Gimnasia Concepción has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80