Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Gimnasia Concepción are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Independiente De Chivilcoy are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Concepción hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 31.4% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
31.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60