GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 5/10/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Concepción are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Chivilcoy hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 52.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

51.9%

Model confidence

43.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia ConcepciónLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gimnasia ChivilcoyDWWWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Gimnasia ConcepciónGimnasia Chivilcoy
26.7Attack28.3
70.0Defence78.3
35.0Form46.7
45.1Power52.6
0.38xG0.48
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