GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 3/29/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Concepción are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Douglas Haig are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Douglas Haig hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.4% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

33.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia ConcepciónLLWWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Douglas HaigWLLWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Gimnasia ConcepciónDouglas Haig
26.7Attack36.5
70.0Defence69.8
35.0Form52.4
45.1Power54.2
0.51xG0.62
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