GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 5/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Concepción are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Defensores de Belgrano VR are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensores de Belgrano VR hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 30.1% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

30.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia ConcepciónDWLLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Defensores de Belgrano VRLDLWD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Gimnasia ConcepciónDefensores de Belgrano VR
26.7Attack39.7
70.0Defence66.7
35.0Form49.2
45.1Power53.8
0.56xG0.68
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