GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 7/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Concepción are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while 9 de Julio Rafaela are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and 9 de Julio Rafaela hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.3% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

22.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia ConcepciónLLDWD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
9 de Julio RafaelaWWLDD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Gimnasia Concepción9 de Julio Rafaela
26.7Attack47.6
70.0Defence55.6
35.0Form47.6
45.1Power51.4
0.75xG0.81
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